A secret report by one of the Palestinian security services – obtained by Ynet – paints a worrying picture of a possible explosion in terror in the West Bank in the coming year. The report warns that there is a high probability of a third intifada erupting in the territories if the current round of US-backed peace talks is unsuccessful.

The warning is a grim echo of the situation in September 2000, with the start of the second intifada and years of bloodshed for Israel and the Palestinians. The violence began barely weeks after the breakdown in the Camp David negotiations between then-prime minister Ehud Barak and late Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, under the auspices of Bill Clinton who was in the twilight of his final term as president.

The report’s authors recommend that the Palestinian civilian authorities and the security services draw up a plan to cope with any escalation in demonstrations, in order to reassure the public that the Palestinian Authority is properly positioned to deal with such events.